[Note: This article was originally posted as comments on Jim Shimabukuro’s “MIT LINC 2013: ‘Consistent but Stupid.’” -Editor]
Here are my forecastings for U.S. higher ed (HE) in the next 10 years:
1. Only 100 or so research universities will survive.
2. They will develop very good online courses for their digital divisions.
3. Digital divisions will provide credits and degrees as MITx, HarvardX, StanfordX, etc.
4. Fees will be $ 1-10 per course so everybody can go to any school they want.
5. More than 60% of the people, 25-65 years old, will have degrees as Obama asks.
6. Graduates will find jobs easily since they graduated from good schools.
7. States will sell the land and buildings of the state schools and will generate funds to retrain the 2 million jobless teachers.
8. There will be no subsidy for higher ed (HE), therefore citizens will pay less State taxes.
9. There will be no subsidy from the Federal Government, therefore there won’t be $1 trillion loans and Federal tax will be less, too.
10. Money will flow into the U.S. from foreign students.
11. The Pentagon will be happy since there will be sufficient students for STEM.
12. Eighty percent of the students in digital divisions will be foreigners.
13. Most nations will be thankful to the U.S. for solving their HE problem.
14. Yes, even good MOOCs will be disrupting the education world but, to me, in a good way. Sure, politicians should advance with very careful steps like edX is doing. I say Coursera is moving too fast.
15. Somewhow GNP will increase, too.
Please comment where I am wrong and right.
Thanks a billion to all.
Filed under: Future |